Crown Lng Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0004
| CGBSW Stock | 0.02 0.01 33.52% |
Crown |
Crown LNG Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0004
The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.0004 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.0004 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown LNG to drop to 0.0004 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crown LNG Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown LNG Holdings price to stay between 0.0004 and its current price of 0.0232 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crown LNG Holdings has a beta of -3.34 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Crown LNG Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Crown LNG is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Crown LNG Holdings has an alpha of 3.248, implying that it can generate a 3.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Crown LNG Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Crown LNG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown LNG Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown LNG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crown LNG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown LNG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown LNG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown LNG Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown LNG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Crown LNG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown LNG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown LNG Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crown LNG Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Crown LNG Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Crown LNG Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Crown LNG Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Crown LNG acquires KGLNG and Grangemouth assets - Investing.com |
Crown LNG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown LNG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown LNG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.7 M | |
| Short Term Investments | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Crown LNG Technical Analysis
Crown LNG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown LNG Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crown LNG Predictive Forecast Models
Crown LNG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown LNG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown LNG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crown LNG Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown LNG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown LNG Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crown LNG Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Crown LNG Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Crown LNG Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Crown LNG Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Crown LNG acquires KGLNG and Grangemouth assets - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for Crown Stock Analysis
When running Crown LNG's price analysis, check to measure Crown LNG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown LNG is operating at the current time. Most of Crown LNG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown LNG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown LNG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown LNG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.