Grazziotin (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 26.39
| CGRA4 Preferred Stock | BRL 25.13 0.14 0.55% |
Grazziotin |
Grazziotin Target Price Odds to finish over 26.39
The tendency of Grazziotin Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 26.39 or more in 90 days |
| 25.13 | 90 days | 26.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grazziotin to move over R$ 26.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grazziotin SA probability density function shows the probability of Grazziotin Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grazziotin SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 25.13 and R$ 26.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grazziotin SA has a beta of -0.38 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grazziotin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grazziotin SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grazziotin SA has an alpha of 5.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 5.03E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grazziotin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grazziotin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grazziotin SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grazziotin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grazziotin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grazziotin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grazziotin SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grazziotin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Grazziotin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grazziotin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grazziotin SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grazziotin SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Grazziotin SA has accumulated about 143.91 M in cash with (36.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.36. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Grazziotin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grazziotin Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grazziotin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grazziotin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.4 M |
Grazziotin Technical Analysis
Grazziotin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grazziotin Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grazziotin SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grazziotin Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grazziotin Predictive Forecast Models
Grazziotin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grazziotin's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grazziotin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grazziotin SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grazziotin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grazziotin SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grazziotin SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Grazziotin SA has accumulated about 143.91 M in cash with (36.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.36. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Grazziotin Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Grazziotin's price analysis, check to measure Grazziotin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grazziotin is operating at the current time. Most of Grazziotin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grazziotin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grazziotin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grazziotin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.