Cherry Hill Mortgage Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 23.64

CHMI-PB Preferred Stock  USD 24.16  0.49  1.99%   
Cherry Hill's future price is the expected price of Cherry Hill instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cherry Hill Mortgage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cherry Hill Backtesting, Cherry Hill Valuation, Cherry Hill Correlation, Cherry Hill Hype Analysis, Cherry Hill Volatility, Cherry Hill History as well as Cherry Hill Performance.
  
Please specify Cherry Hill's target price for which you would like Cherry Hill odds to be computed.

Cherry Hill Target Price Odds to finish below 23.64

The tendency of Cherry Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.64  or more in 90 days
 24.16 90 days 23.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cherry Hill to drop to $ 23.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cherry Hill Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Cherry Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cherry Hill Mortgage price to stay between $ 23.64  and its current price of $24.16 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cherry Hill has a beta of 0.0141 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cherry Hill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cherry Hill Mortgage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cherry Hill Mortgage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cherry Hill Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cherry Hill

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cherry Hill Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7824.1624.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0224.3924.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.6424.0224.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.3424.7825.22
Details

Cherry Hill Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cherry Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cherry Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cherry Hill Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cherry Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0075
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Cherry Hill Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cherry Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cherry Hill Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cherry Hill Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cherry Hill Mortgage has accumulated 146.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.41, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cherry Hill until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cherry Hill's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cherry Hill Mortgage sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cherry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Cherry Hill Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cherry Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cherry Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cherry Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.1 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Cherry Hill Technical Analysis

Cherry Hill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cherry Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cherry Hill Mortgage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cherry Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cherry Hill Predictive Forecast Models

Cherry Hill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cherry Hill's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cherry Hill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cherry Hill Mortgage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cherry Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cherry Hill Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cherry Hill Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cherry Hill Mortgage has accumulated 146.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.41, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cherry Hill until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cherry Hill's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cherry Hill Mortgage sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cherry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cherry Preferred Stock

Cherry Hill financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cherry Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cherry with respect to the benefits of owning Cherry Hill security.