Cherry Hill Mortgage Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
| CHMI Stock | USD 2.54 0.06 2.31% |
Cherry |
Cherry Hill Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of Cherry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.59 or more in 90 days |
| 2.54 | 90 days | 1.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cherry Hill to drop to $ 1.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cherry Hill Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Cherry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cherry Hill Mortgage price to stay between $ 1.59 and its current price of $2.54 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cherry Hill has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cherry Hill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cherry Hill Mortgage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cherry Hill Mortgage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cherry Hill Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cherry Hill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cherry Hill Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cherry Hill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cherry Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cherry Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cherry Hill Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cherry Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Cherry Hill Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cherry Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cherry Hill Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cherry Hill Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cherry Hill Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cherry Hill Mortgage currently holds 1.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.27, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 100.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.19 M. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Cherry Hill paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Internalizes Management, Terminates Management Agreement and Concludes Strategic Alternatives Review Process |
Cherry Hill Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cherry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cherry Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cherry Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.4 M |
Cherry Hill Technical Analysis
Cherry Hill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cherry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cherry Hill Mortgage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cherry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cherry Hill Predictive Forecast Models
Cherry Hill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cherry Hill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cherry Hill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cherry Hill Mortgage
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cherry Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cherry Hill Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cherry Hill Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cherry Hill Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cherry Hill Mortgage currently holds 1.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.27, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 100.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.19 M. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Cherry Hill paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Internalizes Management, Terminates Management Agreement and Concludes Strategic Alternatives Review Process |
Check out Cherry Hill Backtesting, Cherry Hill Valuation, Cherry Hill Correlation, Cherry Hill Hype Analysis, Cherry Hill Volatility, Cherry Hill History as well as Cherry Hill Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cherry Hill. If investors know Cherry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cherry Hill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (1.58) | Revenue Per Share 0.863 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.199 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Cherry Hill Mortgage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cherry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cherry Hill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cherry Hill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cherry Hill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cherry Hill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cherry Hill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cherry Hill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cherry Hill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.