Chilwa Minerals (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| CHW Stock | 0.86 0.02 2.27% |
Chilwa |
Chilwa Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Chilwa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.86 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chilwa Minerals to drop to 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chilwa Minerals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Chilwa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chilwa Minerals price to stay between 0.04 and its current price of 0.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chilwa Minerals has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chilwa Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chilwa Minerals Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chilwa Minerals Limited has an alpha of 0.3018, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chilwa Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chilwa Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chilwa Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chilwa Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chilwa Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chilwa Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chilwa Minerals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chilwa Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Chilwa Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chilwa Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chilwa Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chilwa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chilwa Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.49 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Chilwa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Chilwa Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chilwa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chilwa Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chilwa Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Chilwa Minerals Technical Analysis
Chilwa Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chilwa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chilwa Minerals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chilwa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chilwa Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Chilwa Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Chilwa Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chilwa Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chilwa Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chilwa Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chilwa Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chilwa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chilwa Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.49 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Chilwa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Chilwa Stock Analysis
When running Chilwa Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Chilwa Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chilwa Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Chilwa Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chilwa Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chilwa Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chilwa Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.