Chewy Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.19
| CHWY Stock | USD 34.89 0.98 2.73% |
Chewy |
Chewy Target Price Odds to finish below 31.19
The tendency of Chewy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.19 or more in 90 days |
| 34.89 | 90 days | 31.19 | about 77.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chewy to drop to $ 31.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.5 (This Chewy Inc probability density function shows the probability of Chewy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chewy Inc price to stay between $ 31.19 and its current price of $34.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chewy has a beta of 0.87 suggesting Chewy Inc market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Chewy is expected to follow. Additionally Chewy Inc has an alpha of 0.36, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chewy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Chewy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chewy Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chewy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chewy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chewy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chewy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chewy Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chewy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Chewy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chewy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chewy Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chewy Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chewy Inc currently holds 556.8 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.09, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chewy Inc has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Chewy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Chewy Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of Chewy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Chewy Inc Shares Down 3.93 percent on Nov 22 |
Chewy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chewy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chewy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chewy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 432 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Chewy Technical Analysis
Chewy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chewy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chewy Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chewy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chewy Predictive Forecast Models
Chewy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chewy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chewy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chewy Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chewy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chewy Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chewy Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chewy Inc currently holds 556.8 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.09, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chewy Inc has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Chewy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Chewy Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 93.0% of Chewy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Chewy Inc Shares Down 3.93 percent on Nov 22 |
Additional Tools for Chewy Stock Analysis
When running Chewy's price analysis, check to measure Chewy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chewy is operating at the current time. Most of Chewy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chewy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chewy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chewy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.