CIG Pannonia (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 359.00

CIG Stock   359.00  1.00  0.28%   
CIG Pannonia's future price is the expected price of CIG Pannonia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CIG Pannonia Life performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CIG Pannonia Backtesting, CIG Pannonia Valuation, CIG Pannonia Correlation, CIG Pannonia Hype Analysis, CIG Pannonia Volatility, CIG Pannonia History as well as CIG Pannonia Performance.
  
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CIG Pannonia Target Price Odds to finish over 359.00

The tendency of CIG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 359.00 90 days 359.00 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIG Pannonia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This CIG Pannonia Life probability density function shows the probability of CIG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CIG Pannonia Life has a beta of -0.039 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CIG Pannonia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CIG Pannonia Life is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CIG Pannonia Life has an alpha of 0.1538, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CIG Pannonia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CIG Pannonia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIG Pannonia Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
357.63359.00360.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
302.04303.41394.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
358.30359.67361.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
332.00352.10372.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CIG Pannonia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CIG Pannonia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CIG Pannonia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CIG Pannonia Life.

CIG Pannonia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIG Pannonia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIG Pannonia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIG Pannonia Life, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIG Pannonia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
14.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

CIG Pannonia Technical Analysis

CIG Pannonia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIG Pannonia Life. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CIG Pannonia Predictive Forecast Models

CIG Pannonia's time-series forecasting models is one of many CIG Pannonia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIG Pannonia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CIG Pannonia in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CIG Pannonia's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CIG Pannonia options trading.

Other Information on Investing in CIG Stock

CIG Pannonia financial ratios help investors to determine whether CIG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CIG with respect to the benefits of owning CIG Pannonia security.