CI Games (Poland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.43

CIG Stock   1.44  0.01  0.70%   
CI Games' future price is the expected price of CI Games instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CI Games SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CI Games Backtesting, CI Games Valuation, CI Games Correlation, CI Games Hype Analysis, CI Games Volatility, CI Games History as well as CI Games Performance.
  
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CI Games Target Price Odds to finish over 1.43

The tendency of CIG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.43  in 90 days
 1.44 90 days 1.43 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CI Games to stay above  1.43  in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This CI Games SA probability density function shows the probability of CIG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CI Games SA price to stay between  1.43  and its current price of 1.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CI Games has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CI Games average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CI Games SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CI Games SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CI Games Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CI Games

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CI Games SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CI Games' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.443.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.433.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.443.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.431.441.45
Details

CI Games Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CI Games is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CI Games' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CI Games SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CI Games within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

CI Games Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CI Games for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CI Games SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Games SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CI Games SA may become a speculative penny stock
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

CI Games Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CIG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CI Games' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CI Games' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding167.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37.8 M

CI Games Technical Analysis

CI Games' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CI Games SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CI Games Predictive Forecast Models

CI Games' time-series forecasting models is one of many CI Games' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CI Games' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CI Games SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about CI Games for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CI Games SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CI Games SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CI Games SA may become a speculative penny stock
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for CIG Stock Analysis

When running CI Games' price analysis, check to measure CI Games' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CI Games is operating at the current time. Most of CI Games' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CI Games' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CI Games' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CI Games to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.