Colliers International Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.39
| CIGI Stock | USD 145.73 1.75 1.22% |
Colliers |
Colliers International Target Price Odds to finish below 93.39
The tendency of Colliers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 93.39 or more in 90 days |
| 145.73 | 90 days | 93.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colliers International to drop to $ 93.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Colliers International Group probability density function shows the probability of Colliers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colliers International price to stay between $ 93.39 and its current price of $145.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Colliers International has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Colliers International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colliers International Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colliers International Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colliers International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colliers International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colliers International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colliers International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colliers International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colliers International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colliers International Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colliers International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0065 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Colliers International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colliers International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colliers International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colliers International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Colliers International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Revived Volusia Square shopping center sells for 26M |
Colliers International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colliers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colliers International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colliers International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.9 M |
Colliers International Technical Analysis
Colliers International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colliers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colliers International Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colliers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colliers International Predictive Forecast Models
Colliers International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colliers International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colliers International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colliers International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colliers International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colliers International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colliers International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Colliers International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Revived Volusia Square shopping center sells for 26M |
Check out Colliers International Backtesting, Colliers International Valuation, Colliers International Correlation, Colliers International Hype Analysis, Colliers International Volatility, Colliers International History as well as Colliers International Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colliers International. If investors know Colliers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colliers International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.377 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share 92.768 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
The market value of Colliers International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colliers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colliers International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colliers International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colliers International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colliers International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colliers International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colliers International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colliers International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.