Cimsa Cimento (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.85
| CIMSA Stock | TRY 39.54 0.96 2.49% |
Cimsa |
Cimsa Cimento Target Price Odds to finish below 38.85
The tendency of Cimsa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 38.85 or more in 90 days |
| 39.54 | 90 days | 38.85 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cimsa Cimento to drop to 38.85 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Cimsa Cimento Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Cimsa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cimsa Cimento Sanayi price to stay between 38.85 and its current price of 39.54 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has a beta of -0.0987 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cimsa Cimento are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cimsa Cimento Sanayi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has an alpha of 0.2848, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cimsa Cimento Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cimsa Cimento
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cimsa Cimento Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cimsa Cimento Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cimsa Cimento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cimsa Cimento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cimsa Cimento Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cimsa Cimento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Cimsa Cimento Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cimsa Cimento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cimsa Cimento Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has accumulated 378.31 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 117.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cimsa Cimento until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cimsa Cimento's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cimsa Cimento Sanayi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cimsa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cimsa Cimento's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has accumulated about 176.7 M in cash with (122.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of Cimsa Cimento shares are held by company insiders |
Cimsa Cimento Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cimsa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cimsa Cimento's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cimsa Cimento's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.1 M |
Cimsa Cimento Technical Analysis
Cimsa Cimento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cimsa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cimsa Cimento Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cimsa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cimsa Cimento Predictive Forecast Models
Cimsa Cimento's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cimsa Cimento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cimsa Cimento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cimsa Cimento Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cimsa Cimento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cimsa Cimento Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has accumulated 378.31 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 117.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cimsa Cimento until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cimsa Cimento's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cimsa Cimento Sanayi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cimsa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cimsa Cimento's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Cimsa Cimento Sanayi has accumulated about 176.7 M in cash with (122.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of Cimsa Cimento shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Cimsa Stock
Cimsa Cimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cimsa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cimsa with respect to the benefits of owning Cimsa Cimento security.