CIRCOR International Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.31

CIRDelisted Stock  USD 55.85  0.07  0.13%   
CIRCOR International's future price is the expected price of CIRCOR International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CIRCOR International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Please specify CIRCOR International's target price for which you would like CIRCOR International odds to be computed.

CIRCOR International Target Price Odds to finish below 41.31

The tendency of CIRCOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 41.31  or more in 90 days
 55.85 90 days 41.31 
about 51.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIRCOR International to drop to $ 41.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 51.9 (This CIRCOR International probability density function shows the probability of CIRCOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CIRCOR International price to stay between $ 41.31  and its current price of $55.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.17 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CIRCOR International has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CIRCOR International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CIRCOR International is likely to outperform the market. Moreover CIRCOR International has an alpha of 1.2174, implying that it can generate a 1.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CIRCOR International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CIRCOR International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIRCOR International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.8555.8555.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.3141.3161.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.2457.2457.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.8255.9856.15
Details

CIRCOR International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIRCOR International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIRCOR International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIRCOR International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIRCOR International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
12.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

CIRCOR International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CIRCOR International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CIRCOR International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CIRCOR International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CIRCOR International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 758.67 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 259.84 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

CIRCOR International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CIRCOR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CIRCOR International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CIRCOR International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.9 M

CIRCOR International Technical Analysis

CIRCOR International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIRCOR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIRCOR International. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIRCOR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CIRCOR International Predictive Forecast Models

CIRCOR International's time-series forecasting models is one of many CIRCOR International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIRCOR International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CIRCOR International

Checking the ongoing alerts about CIRCOR International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CIRCOR International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CIRCOR International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CIRCOR International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 758.67 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 259.84 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in CIRCOR Stock

If you are still planning to invest in CIRCOR International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CIRCOR International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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