Clas Ohlson (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 191.21

CLAS-B Stock  SEK 197.00  3.80  1.97%   
Clas Ohlson's future price is the expected price of Clas Ohlson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clas Ohlson AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Clas Ohlson Backtesting, Clas Ohlson Valuation, Clas Ohlson Correlation, Clas Ohlson Hype Analysis, Clas Ohlson Volatility, Clas Ohlson History as well as Clas Ohlson Performance.
  
Please specify Clas Ohlson's target price for which you would like Clas Ohlson odds to be computed.

Clas Ohlson Target Price Odds to finish below 191.21

The tendency of Clas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 191.21  or more in 90 days
 197.00 90 days 191.21 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clas Ohlson to drop to kr 191.21  or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Clas Ohlson AB probability density function shows the probability of Clas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clas Ohlson AB price to stay between kr 191.21  and its current price of kr197.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Clas Ohlson has a beta of 0.84 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Clas Ohlson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Clas Ohlson AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Clas Ohlson AB has an alpha of 0.1147, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Clas Ohlson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clas Ohlson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clas Ohlson AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.26197.00198.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
146.01147.75216.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
192.67194.41196.16
Details

Clas Ohlson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clas Ohlson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clas Ohlson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clas Ohlson AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clas Ohlson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
12.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Clas Ohlson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clas Ohlson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clas Ohlson AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Clas Ohlson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clas Ohlson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clas Ohlson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments456.6 M

Clas Ohlson Technical Analysis

Clas Ohlson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clas Ohlson AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clas Ohlson Predictive Forecast Models

Clas Ohlson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clas Ohlson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clas Ohlson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clas Ohlson AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clas Ohlson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clas Ohlson AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Clas Stock

Clas Ohlson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clas with respect to the benefits of owning Clas Ohlson security.