Cleen Energy (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.13

CLEN Stock  EUR 0.42  0.09  17.65%   
Cleen Energy's future price is the expected price of Cleen Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cleen Energy AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cleen Energy Backtesting, Cleen Energy Valuation, Cleen Energy Correlation, Cleen Energy Hype Analysis, Cleen Energy Volatility, Cleen Energy History as well as Cleen Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Cleen Energy's target price for which you would like Cleen Energy odds to be computed.

Cleen Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1.13

The tendency of Cleen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 1.13  after 90 days
 0.42 90 days 1.13 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cleen Energy to stay under € 1.13  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cleen Energy AG probability density function shows the probability of Cleen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cleen Energy AG price to stay between its current price of € 0.42  and € 1.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cleen Energy AG has a beta of -1.38 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Cleen Energy AG are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Cleen Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Cleen Energy AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cleen Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cleen Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cleen Energy AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4211.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3911.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.4911.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.430.490.56
Details

Cleen Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cleen Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cleen Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cleen Energy AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cleen Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Cleen Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cleen Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cleen Energy AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cleen Energy AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cleen Energy AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cleen Energy AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cleen Energy AG has accumulated 3.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.03, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Cleen Energy AG has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cleen Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cleen Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cleen Energy AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cleen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cleen Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.5 M.
About 72.0% of Cleen Energy shares are held by company insiders

Cleen Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cleen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cleen Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cleen Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float1.3 M

Cleen Energy Technical Analysis

Cleen Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cleen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cleen Energy AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cleen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cleen Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Cleen Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cleen Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cleen Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cleen Energy AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cleen Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cleen Energy AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cleen Energy AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cleen Energy AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cleen Energy AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cleen Energy AG has accumulated 3.24 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.03, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Cleen Energy AG has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cleen Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cleen Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cleen Energy AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cleen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cleen Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.5 M.
About 72.0% of Cleen Energy shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Cleen Stock

Cleen Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cleen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cleen with respect to the benefits of owning Cleen Energy security.