Calian Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 35.10

CLNFF Stock  USD 35.10  0.66  1.85%   
Calian Group's future price is the expected price of Calian Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calian Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calian Group Backtesting, Calian Group Valuation, Calian Group Correlation, Calian Group Hype Analysis, Calian Group Volatility, Calian Group History as well as Calian Group Performance.
  
Please specify Calian Group's target price for which you would like Calian Group odds to be computed.

Calian Group Target Price Odds to finish over 35.10

The tendency of Calian Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.10 90 days 35.10 
about 88.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calian Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.05 (This Calian Group probability density function shows the probability of Calian Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calian Group has a beta of 0.0932 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calian Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calian Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calian Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Calian Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calian Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calian Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3935.1036.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.9935.7037.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.5835.2937.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.0235.6537.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calian Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calian Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calian Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calian Group.

Calian Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calian Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calian Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calian Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calian Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Calian Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calian Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calian Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calian Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Calian Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calian Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calian Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calian Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 M

Calian Group Technical Analysis

Calian Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calian Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calian Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calian Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calian Group Predictive Forecast Models

Calian Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calian Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calian Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calian Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calian Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calian Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calian Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Calian Pink Sheet

Calian Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calian with respect to the benefits of owning Calian Group security.