Cimpress Nv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 89.67

CMPR Stock  USD 81.25  2.87  3.66%   
Cimpress' future price is the expected price of Cimpress instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cimpress NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cimpress Backtesting, Cimpress Valuation, Cimpress Correlation, Cimpress Hype Analysis, Cimpress Volatility, Cimpress History as well as Cimpress Performance.
  
Please specify Cimpress' target price for which you would like Cimpress odds to be computed.

Cimpress Target Price Odds to finish over 89.67

The tendency of Cimpress Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 89.67  or more in 90 days
 81.25 90 days 89.67 
about 13.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cimpress to move over $ 89.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.28 (This Cimpress NV probability density function shows the probability of Cimpress Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cimpress NV price to stay between its current price of $ 81.25  and $ 89.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.28 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cimpress has a beta of 0.0558 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cimpress average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cimpress NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cimpress NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cimpress Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cimpress

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cimpress NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4281.2584.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.8169.6489.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.9578.7881.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.2777.5483.81
Details

Cimpress Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cimpress is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cimpress' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cimpress NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cimpress within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
6.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Cimpress Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cimpress for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cimpress NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cimpress NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cimpress NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Cimpress NV currently holds 1.72 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 602.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cimpress NV has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cimpress' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of Cimpress shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cimpress Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cimpress Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cimpress' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cimpress' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27 M
Cash And Short Term Investments208.3 M

Cimpress Technical Analysis

Cimpress' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cimpress Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cimpress NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cimpress Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cimpress Predictive Forecast Models

Cimpress' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cimpress' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cimpress' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cimpress NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cimpress for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cimpress NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cimpress NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cimpress NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Cimpress NV currently holds 1.72 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 602.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cimpress NV has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cimpress' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of Cimpress shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Cimpress Stock Analysis

When running Cimpress' price analysis, check to measure Cimpress' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cimpress is operating at the current time. Most of Cimpress' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cimpress' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cimpress' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cimpress to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.