Cna Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.15
| CNA Stock | USD 50.27 0.27 0.54% |
CNA |
CNA Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 40.15
The tendency of CNA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 40.15 or more in 90 days |
| 50.27 | 90 days | 40.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNA Financial to drop to $ 40.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CNA Financial probability density function shows the probability of CNA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CNA Financial price to stay between $ 40.15 and its current price of $50.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CNA Financial has a beta of 0.9 suggesting CNA Financial market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CNA Financial is expected to follow. Additionally CNA Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CNA Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CNA Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNA Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNA Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNA Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNA Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNA Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNA Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
CNA Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNA Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNA Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CNA Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CNA Financial has 3.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.34, which is OK given its current industry classification. CNA Financial has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for CNA to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 99.0% of CNA Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Arch Capital Rallies 35 percent YTD How Should You Play the Stock |
CNA Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CNA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CNA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.9 B |
CNA Financial Technical Analysis
CNA Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNA Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CNA Financial Predictive Forecast Models
CNA Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNA Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNA Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CNA Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about CNA Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNA Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CNA Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CNA Financial has 3.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.34, which is OK given its current industry classification. CNA Financial has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for CNA to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 99.0% of CNA Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Arch Capital Rallies 35 percent YTD How Should You Play the Stock |
Check out CNA Financial Backtesting, CNA Financial Valuation, CNA Financial Correlation, CNA Financial Hype Analysis, CNA Financial Volatility, CNA Financial History as well as CNA Financial Performance. For information on how to trade CNA Stock refer to our How to Trade CNA Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNA Financial. If investors know CNA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNA Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.095 | Dividend Share 1.74 | Earnings Share 4.79 | Revenue Per Share 51.885 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.085 |
The market value of CNA Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNA Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNA Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNA Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNA Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNA Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNA Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNA Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.