Collective Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.62
| CNL Stock | 3.45 0.05 1.43% |
Collective |
Collective Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 3.62
The tendency of Collective Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.62 after 90 days |
| 3.45 | 90 days | 3.62 | about 82.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Collective Mining to stay under 3.62 after 90 days from now is about 82.82 (This Collective Mining probability density function shows the probability of Collective Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Collective Mining price to stay between its current price of 3.45 and 3.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.27 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Collective Mining has a beta of 0.91 suggesting Collective Mining market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Collective Mining is expected to follow. Additionally Collective Mining has an alpha of 0.065, implying that it can generate a 0.065 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Collective Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Collective Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Collective Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Collective Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Collective Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Collective Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Collective Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Collective Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Collective Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Collective Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Collective Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Collective Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (19.48 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Collective Mining has about 93.7 M in cash with (16.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.28. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Collective Mining Stock Price Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Collective Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Collective Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Collective Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Collective Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 M |
Collective Mining Technical Analysis
Collective Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Collective Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Collective Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Collective Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Collective Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Collective Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Collective Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Collective Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Collective Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Collective Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Collective Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Collective Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (19.48 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Collective Mining has about 93.7 M in cash with (16.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.28. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Collective Mining Stock Price Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Check out Collective Mining Backtesting, Collective Mining Valuation, Collective Mining Correlation, Collective Mining Hype Analysis, Collective Mining Volatility, Collective Mining History as well as Collective Mining Performance. For more information on how to buy Collective Stock please use our How to buy in Collective Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Precious Metals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Collective Mining. If investors know Collective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Collective Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Collective Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Collective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Collective Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Collective Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Collective Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Collective Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Collective Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Collective Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Collective Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.