Core Main Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.05
| CNM Stock | USD 45.27 0.70 1.57% |
Core |
Core Main Target Price Odds to finish below 13.05
The tendency of Core Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.05 or more in 90 days |
| 45.27 | 90 days | 13.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Core Main to drop to $ 13.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Core Main probability density function shows the probability of Core Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Core Main price to stay between $ 13.05 and its current price of $45.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.6 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Core Main will likely underperform. Additionally Core Main has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Core Main Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Core Main
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Main. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Core Main Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Core Main is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Core Main's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Core Main, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Core Main within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Core Main Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Core Main for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Core Main can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Core Main generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Core Main Stock Moves -0.38 percent What You Should Know |
Core Main Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Core Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Core Main's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Core Main's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1000 K |
Core Main Technical Analysis
Core Main's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Core Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Core Main. In general, you should focus on analyzing Core Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Core Main Predictive Forecast Models
Core Main's time-series forecasting models is one of many Core Main's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Core Main's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Core Main
Checking the ongoing alerts about Core Main for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Core Main help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Core Main generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Core Main Stock Moves -0.38 percent What You Should Know |
Check out Core Main Backtesting, Core Main Valuation, Core Main Correlation, Core Main Hype Analysis, Core Main Volatility, Core Main History as well as Core Main Performance. To learn how to invest in Core Stock, please use our How to Invest in Core Main guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Main. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Main listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share 37.819 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 | Return On Assets 0.0797 |
The market value of Core Main is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Main's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Main's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Main's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Main's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Main's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Main is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Main's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.