Com7 PCL (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.81

COM7 Stock  THB 27.00  0.75  2.86%   
Com7 PCL's future price is the expected price of Com7 PCL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Com7 PCL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Com7 PCL Backtesting, Com7 PCL Valuation, Com7 PCL Correlation, Com7 PCL Hype Analysis, Com7 PCL Volatility, Com7 PCL History as well as Com7 PCL Performance.
  
Please specify Com7 PCL's target price for which you would like Com7 PCL odds to be computed.

Com7 PCL Target Price Odds to finish below 19.81

The tendency of Com7 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  19.81  or more in 90 days
 27.00 90 days 19.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Com7 PCL to drop to  19.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Com7 PCL probability density function shows the probability of Com7 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Com7 PCL price to stay between  19.81  and its current price of 27.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Com7 PCL has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Com7 PCL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Com7 PCL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Com7 PCL has an alpha of 0.276, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Com7 PCL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Com7 PCL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Com7 PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.6927.0029.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9222.2329.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9727.2929.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0426.7527.46
Details

Com7 PCL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Com7 PCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Com7 PCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Com7 PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Com7 PCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Com7 PCL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Com7 PCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Com7 PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Com7 PCL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Com7 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Com7 PCL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Com7 PCL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Com7 PCL Technical Analysis

Com7 PCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Com7 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Com7 PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Com7 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Com7 PCL Predictive Forecast Models

Com7 PCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many Com7 PCL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Com7 PCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Com7 PCL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Com7 PCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Com7 PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Com7 Stock

Com7 PCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether Com7 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Com7 with respect to the benefits of owning Com7 PCL security.