Commscope Holding Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.05
| COMM Stock | USD 5.09 0.41 8.76% |
CommScope |
CommScope Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 5.05
The tendency of CommScope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.05 or more in 90 days |
| 5.09 | 90 days | 5.05 | about 33.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CommScope Holding to drop to $ 5.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 33.43 (This CommScope Holding Co probability density function shows the probability of CommScope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CommScope Holding price to stay between $ 5.05 and its current price of $5.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.56 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CommScope Holding will likely underperform. Additionally CommScope Holding Co has an alpha of 0.1686, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CommScope Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CommScope Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CommScope Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CommScope Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CommScope Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CommScope Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CommScope Holding Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CommScope Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
CommScope Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CommScope Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CommScope Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CommScope Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.45 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 B. | |
| CommScope Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer on Amphenol Corporation I Do Think That This Is A Terrific Stock |
CommScope Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CommScope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CommScope Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CommScope Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 543.8 M |
CommScope Holding Technical Analysis
CommScope Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CommScope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CommScope Holding Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing CommScope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CommScope Holding Predictive Forecast Models
CommScope Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many CommScope Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CommScope Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CommScope Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about CommScope Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CommScope Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CommScope Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.45 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 B. | |
| CommScope Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer on Amphenol Corporation I Do Think That This Is A Terrific Stock |
Check out CommScope Holding Backtesting, CommScope Holding Valuation, CommScope Holding Correlation, CommScope Holding Hype Analysis, CommScope Holding Volatility, CommScope Holding History as well as CommScope Holding Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CommScope Holding. If investors know CommScope will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CommScope Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.96) | Revenue Per Share 24.277 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 | Return On Assets 0.0343 | Return On Equity (18.38) |
The market value of CommScope Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CommScope that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CommScope Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CommScope Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CommScope Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CommScope Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CommScope Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CommScope Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CommScope Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.