Concentra Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.53

CON Stock   23.53  0.58  2.53%   
Concentra Group's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Concentra Group Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Concentra Group based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Concentra Group Holdings over a specific time period. For example, CON260320C00022500 is a PUT option contract on Concentra Group's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2026-03-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 42 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 6th of February is 42.0. View All Concentra options

Closest to current price Concentra long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Concentra Group's future price is the expected price of Concentra Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Concentra Group Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Concentra Group Analysis, Concentra Group Valuation, Concentra Group Correlation, Concentra Group Hype Analysis, Concentra Group Volatility, Concentra Group Price History as well as Concentra Group Performance.
As of the 6th of February 2026, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 1.69. Also, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 16.70. Please specify Concentra Group's target price for which you would like Concentra Group odds to be computed.

Concentra Group Target Price Odds to finish over 23.53

The tendency of Concentra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.53 90 days 23.53 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Concentra Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Concentra Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Concentra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Concentra Group has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Concentra Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Concentra Group Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Concentra Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.2393, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Concentra Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Concentra Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Concentra Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7423.5325.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1826.4828.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2123.0024.79
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.0028.5731.71
Details

Concentra Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Concentra Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Concentra Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Concentra Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Concentra Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Concentra Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Concentra Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Concentra Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Concentra Group Holdings Parent Price Target Raised to 31.00

Concentra Group Technical Analysis

Concentra Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Concentra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Concentra Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Concentra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Concentra Group Predictive Forecast Models

Concentra Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Concentra Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Concentra Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Concentra Group Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Concentra Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Concentra Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Concentra Group Holdings Parent Price Target Raised to 31.00
When determining whether Concentra Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Concentra Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Concentra Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Concentra Group Holdings Stock:
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Concentra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Concentra Group. Projected growth potential of Concentra fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Concentra Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.026
Dividend Share
0.25
Earnings Share
1.18
Revenue Per Share
16.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.17
Investors evaluate Concentra Group Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Concentra Group's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Concentra Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Concentra Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Concentra Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Concentra Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.