Concentra Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction
CON Stock | 22.13 0.23 1.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.39 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.27 | Wall Street Target Price 29.79 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
Using Concentra Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Concentra Group Holdings from the perspective of Concentra Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Concentra Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Concentra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Concentra Group after-hype prediction price | USD 22.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Concentra |
Concentra Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Concentra Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Concentra Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Concentra Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Concentra Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Concentra Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Concentra Group's historical news coverage. Concentra Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.02 and 24.22, respectively. We have considered Concentra Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Concentra Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Concentra Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Concentra Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Concentra Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Concentra Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Concentra Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.13 | 22.12 | 0.05 |
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Concentra Group Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Concentra Group Holdings is traded for 22.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Concentra is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Concentra Group is about 1244.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.13. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Concentra Group was currently reported as 11.98. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Concentra Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Concentra Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Concentra Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Concentra Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Concentra Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Concentra Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
IAS | Integral Ad Science | (0.06) | 10 per month | 2.98 | (0.04) | 3.45 | (2.41) | 23.54 | |
BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | (0.14) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.36 | (1.87) | 9.38 | |
KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | (0.21) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.46 | (2.08) | 6.67 | |
XNET | Xunlei Ltd Adr | (0.06) | 5 per month | 3.69 | 0.04 | 6.28 | (6.12) | 30.75 | |
WIMI | WiMi Hologram Cloud | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.42 | (6.33) | 26.90 | |
MCHX | Marchex | 0.10 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.85 | (5.29) | 16.97 | |
DEO | Diageo PLC ADR | (1.28) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.02 | (2.30) | 8.81 | |
ISPR | Ispire Technology Common | 0.32 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.26 | (6.03) | 20.54 |
Concentra Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Concentra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Concentra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Concentra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Concentra Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Concentra Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Concentra Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Concentra Group based on analysis of Concentra Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Concentra Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Concentra Group's related companies. 2010 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002359 | 0.00221 | 0.002154 | 0.002465 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
Story Coverage note for Concentra Group
The number of cover stories for Concentra Group depends on current market conditions and Concentra Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Concentra Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Concentra Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Concentra Group Short Properties
Concentra Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Concentra Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Concentra Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Concentra Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Concentra Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 126.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.4 M |
Check out Concentra Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Concentra Group. If investors know Concentra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Concentra Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share 17.842 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Concentra Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Concentra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Concentra Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Concentra Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Concentra Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Concentra Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Concentra Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Concentra Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Concentra Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.