Courtois (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 113.73

COUR Stock  EUR 120.00  6.00  4.76%   
Courtois' future price is the expected price of Courtois instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Courtois SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Courtois Backtesting, Courtois Valuation, Courtois Correlation, Courtois Hype Analysis, Courtois Volatility, Courtois History as well as Courtois Performance.
  
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Courtois Target Price Odds to finish below 113.73

The tendency of Courtois Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 113.73  or more in 90 days
 120.00 90 days 113.73 
about 8.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Courtois to drop to € 113.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.38 (This Courtois SA probability density function shows the probability of Courtois Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Courtois SA price to stay between € 113.73  and its current price of €120.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Courtois has a beta of 0.65 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Courtois average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Courtois SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Courtois SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Courtois Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Courtois

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Courtois SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
117.76120.00122.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.01121.25123.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
120.87123.12125.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
115.76119.71123.67
Details

Courtois Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Courtois is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Courtois' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Courtois SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Courtois within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
5.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Courtois Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Courtois for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Courtois SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (52 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 M.
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Courtois Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Courtois Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Courtois' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Courtois' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.4 K
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Courtois Technical Analysis

Courtois' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Courtois Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Courtois SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Courtois Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Courtois Predictive Forecast Models

Courtois' time-series forecasting models is one of many Courtois' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Courtois' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Courtois SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Courtois for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Courtois SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (52 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 M.
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Courtois Stock

Courtois financial ratios help investors to determine whether Courtois Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Courtois with respect to the benefits of owning Courtois security.