Care Property (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.12
| CPINV Stock | EUR 12.08 0.02 0.17% |
Care |
Care Property Target Price Odds to finish over 12.12
The tendency of Care Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 12.12 or more in 90 days |
| 12.08 | 90 days | 12.12 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Care Property to move over € 12.12 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Care Property Invest probability density function shows the probability of Care Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Care Property Invest price to stay between its current price of € 12.08 and € 12.12 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Care Property has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Care Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Care Property Invest will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Care Property Invest has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Care Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Care Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Care Property Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Care Property's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Care Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Care Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Care Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Care Property Invest, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Care Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Care Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Care Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Care Property Invest can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Care Property Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Care Property Invest has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Care Property Invest has accumulated 274.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Care Property Invest has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Care Property until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Care Property's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Care Property Invest sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Care to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Care Property's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Care Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Care Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Care Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Care Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Care Property Technical Analysis
Care Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Care Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Care Property Invest. In general, you should focus on analyzing Care Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Care Property Predictive Forecast Models
Care Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Care Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Care Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Care Property Invest
Checking the ongoing alerts about Care Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Care Property Invest help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Care Property Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Care Property Invest has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Care Property Invest has accumulated 274.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Care Property Invest has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Care Property until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Care Property's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Care Property Invest sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Care to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Care Property's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Care Stock
Care Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Care Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Care with respect to the benefits of owning Care Property security.