Companhia Paranaense (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.00
| CPLE5 Stock | BRL 11.36 0.14 1.22% |
Companhia |
Companhia Paranaense Target Price Odds to finish over 16.00
The tendency of Companhia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 16.00 or more in 90 days |
| 11.36 | 90 days | 16.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Companhia Paranaense to move over R$ 16.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Companhia Paranaense de probability density function shows the probability of Companhia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Companhia Paranaense price to stay between its current price of R$ 11.36 and R$ 16.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Companhia Paranaense has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Companhia Paranaense average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Companhia Paranaense de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Companhia Paranaense de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Companhia Paranaense Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Companhia Paranaense
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Paranaense. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Companhia Paranaense Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Companhia Paranaense is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Companhia Paranaense's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Companhia Paranaense de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Companhia Paranaense within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Companhia Paranaense Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Companhia Paranaense for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Companhia Paranaense can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Companhia Paranaense generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Companhia Paranaense has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has R$9.1 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Companhia Paranaense Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Companhia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Companhia Paranaense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Paranaense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
Companhia Paranaense Technical Analysis
Companhia Paranaense's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Companhia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Companhia Paranaense de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Companhia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Companhia Paranaense Predictive Forecast Models
Companhia Paranaense's time-series forecasting models is one of many Companhia Paranaense's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Companhia Paranaense's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Companhia Paranaense
Checking the ongoing alerts about Companhia Paranaense for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Companhia Paranaense help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Companhia Paranaense generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Companhia Paranaense has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has R$9.1 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Companhia Stock Analysis
When running Companhia Paranaense's price analysis, check to measure Companhia Paranaense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Paranaense is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Paranaense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Paranaense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Paranaense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Paranaense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.