Pop Culture Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.13
| CPOP Stock | USD 1.14 0.07 5.79% |
Pop |
Pop Culture Target Price Odds to finish below 1.13
The tendency of Pop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.13 or more in 90 days |
| 1.14 | 90 days | 1.13 | about 14.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pop Culture to drop to $ 1.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.86 (This Pop Culture Group probability density function shows the probability of Pop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pop Culture Group price to stay between $ 1.13 and its current price of $1.14 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pop Culture has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Pop Culture average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pop Culture Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pop Culture Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pop Culture Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pop Culture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pop Culture Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pop Culture Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pop Culture is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pop Culture's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pop Culture Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pop Culture within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Pop Culture Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pop Culture for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pop Culture Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pop Culture Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pop Culture Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Pop Culture Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pop Culture Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 47.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.25 M. | |
| Pop Culture Group currently holds about 28.51 M in cash with (5.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Pop Culture Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pop Culture Group Stock Experiences Significant Decline Amidst Entertainment Sector Movements |
Pop Culture Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pop Culture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pop Culture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Pop Culture Technical Analysis
Pop Culture's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pop Culture Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pop Culture Predictive Forecast Models
Pop Culture's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pop Culture's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pop Culture's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pop Culture Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pop Culture for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pop Culture Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pop Culture Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pop Culture Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Pop Culture Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pop Culture Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 47.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.25 M. | |
| Pop Culture Group currently holds about 28.51 M in cash with (5.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.18, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Pop Culture Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Pop Culture Group Stock Experiences Significant Decline Amidst Entertainment Sector Movements |
Additional Tools for Pop Stock Analysis
When running Pop Culture's price analysis, check to measure Pop Culture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pop Culture is operating at the current time. Most of Pop Culture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pop Culture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pop Culture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pop Culture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.