Chukai Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.682
| CRANE Stock | THB 0.62 0.01 1.64% |
Chukai |
Chukai Public Target Price Odds to finish over 0.682
The tendency of Chukai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.68 or more in 90 days |
| 0.62 | 90 days | 0.68 | about 60.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chukai Public to move over 0.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.75 (This Chukai Public probability density function shows the probability of Chukai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chukai Public price to stay between its current price of 0.62 and 0.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chukai Public has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chukai Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chukai Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chukai Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chukai Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chukai Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chukai Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chukai Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chukai Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chukai Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chukai Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chukai Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chukai Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Chukai Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chukai Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chukai Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chukai Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chukai Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chukai Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chukai Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chukai Public has accumulated 518.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 106.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chukai Public has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chukai Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chukai Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chukai Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chukai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chukai Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 523.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (190.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.18 M. | |
| Chukai Public has accumulated about 27.95 M in cash with (44.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of Chukai Public shares are held by company insiders |
Chukai Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chukai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chukai Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chukai Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 758.2 M |
Chukai Public Technical Analysis
Chukai Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chukai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chukai Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chukai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chukai Public Predictive Forecast Models
Chukai Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chukai Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chukai Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chukai Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chukai Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chukai Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chukai Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chukai Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chukai Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chukai Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chukai Public has accumulated 518.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 106.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chukai Public has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chukai Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chukai Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chukai Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chukai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chukai Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 523.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (190.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.18 M. | |
| Chukai Public has accumulated about 27.95 M in cash with (44.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of Chukai Public shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Chukai Stock
Chukai Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chukai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chukai with respect to the benefits of owning Chukai Public security.