Banco De (Peru) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.37

CREDITC1   4.00  0.02  0.50%   
Banco De's future price is the expected price of Banco De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco de Credito performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco De Backtesting, Banco De Valuation, Banco De Correlation, Banco De Hype Analysis, Banco De Volatility, Banco De History as well as Banco De Performance.
  
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Banco De Target Price Odds to finish over 8.37

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  8.37  or more in 90 days
 4.00 90 days 8.37 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco De to move over  8.37  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Banco de Credito probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco de Credito price to stay between its current price of  4.00  and  8.37  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco de Credito has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco De are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco de Credito is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco de Credito has an alpha of 0.3174, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banco De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco de Credito. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.544.005.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.743.204.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.654.125.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.793.934.08
Details

Banco De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco de Credito, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Banco De Technical Analysis

Banco De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco de Credito. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco De Predictive Forecast Models

Banco De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco De's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Banco De in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Banco De's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Banco De options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock

Banco De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco De security.