CarrefourSA Carrefour (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 104.6
| CRFSA Stock | TRY 104.60 1.60 1.55% |
CarrefourSA |
CarrefourSA Carrefour Target Price Odds to finish below 104.6
The tendency of CarrefourSA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 104.60 | 90 days | 104.60 | about 28.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CarrefourSA Carrefour to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 28.09 (This CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci probability density function shows the probability of CarrefourSA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CarrefourSA Carrefour has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CarrefourSA Carrefour average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CarrefourSA Carrefour Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CarrefourSA Carrefour
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CarrefourSA Carrefour. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CarrefourSA Carrefour Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CarrefourSA Carrefour is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CarrefourSA Carrefour's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CarrefourSA Carrefour within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
CarrefourSA Carrefour Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CarrefourSA Carrefour for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CarrefourSA Carrefour can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CarrefourSA Carrefour generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci has accumulated 2.09 B in total debt. CarrefourSA Carrefour has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CarrefourSA Carrefour until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CarrefourSA Carrefour's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CarrefourSA Carrefour sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CarrefourSA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CarrefourSA Carrefour's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (430.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.58 B. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CarrefourSA Carrefour Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CarrefourSA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CarrefourSA Carrefour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarrefourSA Carrefour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.8 M |
CarrefourSA Carrefour Technical Analysis
CarrefourSA Carrefour's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CarrefourSA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci. In general, you should focus on analyzing CarrefourSA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CarrefourSA Carrefour Predictive Forecast Models
CarrefourSA Carrefour's time-series forecasting models is one of many CarrefourSA Carrefour's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CarrefourSA Carrefour's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CarrefourSA Carrefour
Checking the ongoing alerts about CarrefourSA Carrefour for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CarrefourSA Carrefour help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CarrefourSA Carrefour generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CarrefourSA Carrefour Sabanci has accumulated 2.09 B in total debt. CarrefourSA Carrefour has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CarrefourSA Carrefour until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CarrefourSA Carrefour's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CarrefourSA Carrefour sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CarrefourSA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CarrefourSA Carrefour's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (430.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.58 B. | |
| About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in CarrefourSA Stock
CarrefourSA Carrefour financial ratios help investors to determine whether CarrefourSA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CarrefourSA with respect to the benefits of owning CarrefourSA Carrefour security.