Crescent Energy Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.39

CRGY Stock  USD 14.85  0.43  2.81%   
Crescent Energy's future price is the expected price of Crescent Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crescent Energy Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crescent Energy Backtesting, Crescent Energy Valuation, Crescent Energy Correlation, Crescent Energy Hype Analysis, Crescent Energy Volatility, Crescent Energy History as well as Crescent Energy Performance.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 13.66 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.35 in 2024. Please specify Crescent Energy's target price for which you would like Crescent Energy odds to be computed.

Crescent Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 13.39

The tendency of Crescent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.39  in 90 days
 14.85 90 days 13.39 
about 16.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescent Energy to stay above $ 13.39  in 90 days from now is about 16.66 (This Crescent Energy Co probability density function shows the probability of Crescent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crescent Energy price to stay between $ 13.39  and its current price of $14.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Crescent Energy has a beta of 0.91 suggesting Crescent Energy Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Crescent Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Crescent Energy Co has an alpha of 0.4153, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crescent Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crescent Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1314.8417.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0216.7319.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3815.0917.80
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.6217.1719.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crescent Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crescent Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crescent Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crescent Energy.

Crescent Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescent Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescent Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescent Energy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescent Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Crescent Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crescent Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crescent Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crescent Energy Co currently holds 1.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crescent Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crescent Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 87.0% of Crescent Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Crescent Energy Short Interest Down 10.7 percent in October

Crescent Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crescent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crescent Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crescent Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Crescent Energy Technical Analysis

Crescent Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crescent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crescent Energy Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crescent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crescent Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Crescent Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crescent Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crescent Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crescent Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescent Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescent Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crescent Energy Co currently holds 1.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crescent Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crescent Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 87.0% of Crescent Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Crescent Energy Short Interest Down 10.7 percent in October

Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis

When running Crescent Energy's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.