Crescent Energy Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.42
| CRGY Stock | USD 15.14 0.31 2.09% |
Closest to current price Crescent long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Crescent |
Crescent Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 5.42
The tendency of Crescent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.42 or more in 90 days |
| 15.14 | 90 days | 5.42 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescent Energy to drop to $ 5.42 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crescent Energy Co probability density function shows the probability of Crescent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crescent Energy price to stay between $ 5.42 and its current price of $15.14 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Crescent Energy has a beta of 0.75 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crescent Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crescent Energy Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crescent Energy Co has an alpha of 0.3207, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Crescent Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Crescent Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crescent Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescent Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescent Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescent Energy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescent Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Crescent Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crescent Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crescent Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crescent Energy Co currently holds 1.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crescent Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crescent Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Crescent Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 87.0% of Crescent Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Crescent Energy to buy Eagle Ford oil assets in 905M deal |
Crescent Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crescent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crescent Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crescent Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Crescent Energy Technical Analysis
Crescent Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crescent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crescent Energy Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crescent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crescent Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Crescent Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crescent Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crescent Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crescent Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescent Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescent Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crescent Energy Co currently holds 1.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crescent Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crescent Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Crescent Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 87.0% of Crescent Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Crescent Energy to buy Eagle Ford oil assets in 905M deal |
Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis
When running Crescent Energy's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.