Cardinal Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.54

CRLFF Stock  USD 4.82  0.03  0.63%   
Cardinal Energy's future price is the expected price of Cardinal Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cardinal Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cardinal Energy Backtesting, Cardinal Energy Valuation, Cardinal Energy Correlation, Cardinal Energy Hype Analysis, Cardinal Energy Volatility, Cardinal Energy History as well as Cardinal Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Cardinal Energy's target price for which you would like Cardinal Energy odds to be computed.

Cardinal Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 3.54

The tendency of Cardinal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.54  or more in 90 days
 4.82 90 days 3.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cardinal Energy to drop to $ 3.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cardinal Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cardinal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cardinal Energy price to stay between $ 3.54  and its current price of $4.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cardinal Energy has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cardinal Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cardinal Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cardinal Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cardinal Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cardinal Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardinal Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.514.836.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.454.776.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.574.906.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.784.814.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cardinal Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cardinal Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cardinal Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cardinal Energy.

Cardinal Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cardinal Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cardinal Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cardinal Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cardinal Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Cardinal Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cardinal Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cardinal Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardinal Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BP Wins Exploration Rights For Shallow Water Block Offshore Trinidad - Barchart

Cardinal Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cardinal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cardinal Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cardinal Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.4 M

Cardinal Energy Technical Analysis

Cardinal Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cardinal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cardinal Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cardinal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cardinal Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Cardinal Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cardinal Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cardinal Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cardinal Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cardinal Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cardinal Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardinal Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BP Wins Exploration Rights For Shallow Water Block Offshore Trinidad - Barchart

Other Information on Investing in Cardinal Pink Sheet

Cardinal Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cardinal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cardinal with respect to the benefits of owning Cardinal Energy security.