Critical Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.21
| CRMLW Stock | 0.21 0.02 8.70% |
Critical |
Critical Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.21
The tendency of Critical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.21 | 90 days | 0.21 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Critical Metals to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Critical Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Critical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.3 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Critical Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Critical Metals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Critical Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Critical Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Critical Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Critical Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Critical Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Critical Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Critical Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Critical Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Critical Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Critical Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Critical Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Critical Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Critical Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Critical Metals Partners with Hatch for 20,000MT Saudi Lithium Plant Design CRML Stock News - StockTitan |
Critical Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Critical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Critical Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Critical Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Critical Metals Technical Analysis
Critical Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Critical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Critical Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Critical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Critical Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Critical Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Critical Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Critical Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Critical Metals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Critical Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Critical Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Critical Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Critical Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Critical Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Critical Metals Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Critical Metals Partners with Hatch for 20,000MT Saudi Lithium Plant Design CRML Stock News - StockTitan |
Additional Tools for Critical Stock Analysis
When running Critical Metals' price analysis, check to measure Critical Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Critical Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Critical Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Critical Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Critical Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Critical Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.