Carmit (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1165.0

CRMT Stock  ILA 1,199  34.00  2.92%   
Carmit's future price is the expected price of Carmit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Carmit performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Carmit Backtesting, Carmit Valuation, Carmit Correlation, Carmit Hype Analysis, Carmit Volatility, Carmit History as well as Carmit Performance.
  
Please specify Carmit's target price for which you would like Carmit odds to be computed.

Carmit Target Price Odds to finish over 1165.0

The tendency of Carmit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,165  in 90 days
 1,199 90 days 1,165 
about 24.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carmit to stay above  1,165  in 90 days from now is about 24.66 (This Carmit probability density function shows the probability of Carmit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carmit price to stay between  1,165  and its current price of 1199.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carmit has a beta of 0.0578 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Carmit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Carmit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Carmit has an alpha of 0.5786, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Carmit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carmit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carmit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1971,1991,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0791,2061,209
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1551,1571,159
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1511,1781,204
Details

Carmit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carmit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carmit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carmit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carmit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
124.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Carmit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carmit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carmit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 178.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.11 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Carmit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carmit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carmit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carmit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 M

Carmit Technical Analysis

Carmit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carmit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carmit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carmit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Carmit Predictive Forecast Models

Carmit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Carmit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carmit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Carmit

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carmit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carmit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 178.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.11 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Carmit Stock

Carmit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carmit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carmit with respect to the benefits of owning Carmit security.