Ct Real Estate Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.57

CRT-UN Stock  CAD 15.10  0.09  0.59%   
CT Real's future price is the expected price of CT Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CT Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CT Real Backtesting, CT Real Valuation, CT Real Correlation, CT Real Hype Analysis, CT Real Volatility, CT Real History as well as CT Real Performance.
  
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CT Real Target Price Odds to finish below 11.57

The tendency of CRT-UN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 11.57  or more in 90 days
 15.10 90 days 11.57 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CT Real to drop to C$ 11.57  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CT Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of CRT-UN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CT Real Estate price to stay between C$ 11.57  and its current price of C$15.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CT Real has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CT Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CT Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CT Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CT Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CT Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CT Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CT Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2415.1015.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4715.3316.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.3015.1616.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9015.1915.47
Details

CT Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CT Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CT Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CT Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CT Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

CT Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CT Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CT Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CT Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CT Real Estate has accumulated 1.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.78, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CT Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CT Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CT Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CT Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CRT-UN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CT Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of CT Real shares are held by company insiders

CT Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CRT-UN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CT Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CT Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding210.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.8 M

CT Real Technical Analysis

CT Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CRT-UN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CT Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing CRT-UN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CT Real Predictive Forecast Models

CT Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many CT Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CT Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CT Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about CT Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CT Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CT Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CT Real Estate has accumulated 1.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.78, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CT Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CT Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CT Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CT Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CRT-UN to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CT Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of CT Real shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in CRT-UN Stock

CT Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether CRT-UN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CRT-UN with respect to the benefits of owning CT Real security.