Crowdstrike Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 372.26

CRWD Stock  USD 372.26  14.71  4.11%   
Crowdstrike Holdings' future price is the expected price of Crowdstrike Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crowdstrike Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crowdstrike Holdings Backtesting, Crowdstrike Holdings Valuation, Crowdstrike Holdings Correlation, Crowdstrike Holdings Hype Analysis, Crowdstrike Holdings Volatility, Crowdstrike Holdings History as well as Crowdstrike Holdings Performance.
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At present, Crowdstrike Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 62.85, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (5.04). Please specify Crowdstrike Holdings' target price for which you would like Crowdstrike Holdings odds to be computed.

Crowdstrike Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 372.26

The tendency of Crowdstrike Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 372.26 90 days 372.26 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crowdstrike Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Crowdstrike Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Crowdstrike Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crowdstrike Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Crowdstrike Holdings has an alpha of 0.3182, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crowdstrike Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crowdstrike Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crowdstrike Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crowdstrike Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
367.83370.25372.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
297.15299.57409.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
369.76372.17374.59
Details
53 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
179.82197.60219.34
Details

Crowdstrike Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crowdstrike Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crowdstrike Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crowdstrike Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crowdstrike Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.67
σ
Overall volatility
30.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Crowdstrike Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crowdstrike Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crowdstrike Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crowdstrike Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: CrowdStrikes SWOT analysis cybersecurity leader navigates outage impact, eyes 10B ARR

Crowdstrike Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crowdstrike Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crowdstrike Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crowdstrike Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding243.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

Crowdstrike Holdings Technical Analysis

Crowdstrike Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crowdstrike Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crowdstrike Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crowdstrike Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crowdstrike Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Crowdstrike Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crowdstrike Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crowdstrike Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crowdstrike Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crowdstrike Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crowdstrike Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crowdstrike Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: CrowdStrikes SWOT analysis cybersecurity leader navigates outage impact, eyes 10B ARR
When determining whether Crowdstrike Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Crowdstrike Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Crowdstrike Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Crowdstrike Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crowdstrike Holdings. If investors know Crowdstrike will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crowdstrike Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.333
Earnings Share
0.71
Revenue Per Share
14.55
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.317
Return On Assets
0.0053
The market value of Crowdstrike Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crowdstrike that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crowdstrike Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crowdstrike Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crowdstrike Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crowdstrike Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crowdstrike Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crowdstrike Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crowdstrike Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.