Costar Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.24

CSGP Stock  USD 80.28  0.47  0.59%   
CoStar's future price is the expected price of CoStar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CoStar Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CoStar Backtesting, CoStar Valuation, CoStar Correlation, CoStar Hype Analysis, CoStar Volatility, CoStar History as well as CoStar Performance.
  
At this time, CoStar's Price Fair Value is relatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify CoStar's target price for which you would like CoStar odds to be computed.

CoStar Target Price Odds to finish below 81.24

The tendency of CoStar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 81.24  after 90 days
 80.28 90 days 81.24 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CoStar to stay under $ 81.24  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CoStar Group probability density function shows the probability of CoStar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CoStar Group price to stay between its current price of $ 80.28  and $ 81.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CoStar has a beta of 0.9 suggesting CoStar Group market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CoStar is expected to follow. Additionally CoStar Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CoStar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CoStar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoStar Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.5280.4682.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.2584.7686.70
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
89.2598.08108.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.220.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CoStar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CoStar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CoStar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CoStar Group.

CoStar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CoStar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CoStar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CoStar Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CoStar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

CoStar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CoStar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CoStar Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CoStar Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CoStar Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Costar Group, Inc. Are Hedge Funds Bullish On This Real Estate and Realty Stock

CoStar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CoStar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CoStar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CoStar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding406.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.2 B

CoStar Technical Analysis

CoStar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CoStar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CoStar Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing CoStar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CoStar Predictive Forecast Models

CoStar's time-series forecasting models is one of many CoStar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CoStar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CoStar Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about CoStar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CoStar Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CoStar Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
CoStar Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Costar Group, Inc. Are Hedge Funds Bullish On This Real Estate and Realty Stock

Additional Tools for CoStar Stock Analysis

When running CoStar's price analysis, check to measure CoStar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CoStar is operating at the current time. Most of CoStar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CoStar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CoStar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CoStar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.