Chartwell Retirement Residences Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.77
| CSH-UN Stock | CAD 15.76 0.15 0.94% |
Chartwell |
Chartwell Retirement Target Price Odds to finish over 15.77
The tendency of Chartwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 15.77 or more in 90 days |
| 15.76 | 90 days | 15.77 | about 18.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chartwell Retirement to move over C$ 15.77 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.11 (This Chartwell Retirement Residences probability density function shows the probability of Chartwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chartwell Retirement price to stay between its current price of C$ 15.76 and C$ 15.77 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chartwell Retirement Residences has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chartwell Retirement are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chartwell Retirement Residences is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chartwell Retirement Residences has an alpha of 0.1525, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chartwell Retirement Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chartwell Retirement
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chartwell Retirement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chartwell Retirement's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chartwell Retirement Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chartwell Retirement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chartwell Retirement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chartwell Retirement Residences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chartwell Retirement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Chartwell Retirement Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chartwell Retirement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chartwell Retirement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chartwell Retirement Residences has accumulated 2.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Chartwell Retirement has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chartwell Retirement until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chartwell Retirement's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chartwell Retirement sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chartwell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chartwell Retirement's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Chartwell Retirement Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chartwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chartwell Retirement's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chartwell Retirement's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 241.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.6 M |
Chartwell Retirement Technical Analysis
Chartwell Retirement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chartwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chartwell Retirement Residences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chartwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chartwell Retirement Predictive Forecast Models
Chartwell Retirement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chartwell Retirement's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chartwell Retirement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chartwell Retirement
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chartwell Retirement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chartwell Retirement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chartwell Retirement Residences has accumulated 2.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Chartwell Retirement has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chartwell Retirement until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chartwell Retirement's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chartwell Retirement sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chartwell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chartwell Retirement's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Chartwell Stock
Chartwell Retirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chartwell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chartwell with respect to the benefits of owning Chartwell Retirement security.