Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 253.91
| CSL Stock | USD 469.68 20.03 4.45% |
Carlisle |
Carlisle Companies Target Price Odds to finish below 253.91
The tendency of Carlisle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 253.91 or more in 90 days |
| 469.68 | 90 days | 253.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlisle Companies to drop to $ 253.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Carlisle Companies Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Carlisle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carlisle Companies price to stay between $ 253.91 and its current price of $469.68 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carlisle Companies will likely underperform. Additionally Carlisle Companies Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Carlisle Companies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Carlisle Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlisle Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlisle Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carlisle Companies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlisle Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlisle Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlisle Companies Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlisle Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0061 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Carlisle Companies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlisle Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlisle Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carlisle Companies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Carlisle Companies Earns Most Honored Company Designation From Extel All-America Executive Team Rankings for the Second Straight Year |
Carlisle Companies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlisle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlisle Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlisle Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 576.7 M |
Carlisle Companies Technical Analysis
Carlisle Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carlisle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carlisle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carlisle Companies Predictive Forecast Models
Carlisle Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carlisle Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carlisle Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carlisle Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlisle Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlisle Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carlisle Companies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Carlisle Companies Earns Most Honored Company Designation From Extel All-America Executive Team Rankings for the Second Straight Year |
Check out Carlisle Companies Backtesting, Carlisle Companies Valuation, Carlisle Companies Correlation, Carlisle Companies Hype Analysis, Carlisle Companies Volatility, Carlisle Companies History as well as Carlisle Companies Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlisle Companies. If investors know Carlisle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carlisle Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 3.55 | Earnings Share 18.66 | Revenue Per Share 105.77 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
The market value of Carlisle Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carlisle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carlisle Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carlisle Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carlisle Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carlisle Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlisle Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlisle Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlisle Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.