Ctac NV (Netherlands) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.74

CTAC Stock  EUR 2.68  0.02  0.75%   
Ctac NV's future price is the expected price of Ctac NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ctac NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ctac NV Backtesting, Ctac NV Valuation, Ctac NV Correlation, Ctac NV Hype Analysis, Ctac NV Volatility, Ctac NV History as well as Ctac NV Performance.
  
Please specify Ctac NV's target price for which you would like Ctac NV odds to be computed.

Ctac NV Target Price Odds to finish over 4.74

The tendency of Ctac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.74  or more in 90 days
 2.68 90 days 4.74 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ctac NV to move over € 4.74  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ctac NV probability density function shows the probability of Ctac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ctac NV price to stay between its current price of € 2.68  and € 4.74  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ctac NV has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ctac NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ctac NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ctac NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ctac NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ctac NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ctac NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.582.664.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.682.764.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.592.674.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.582.793.00
Details

Ctac NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ctac NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ctac NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ctac NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ctac NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Ctac NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ctac NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ctac NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ctac NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ctac NV has accumulated 2.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ctac NV has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ctac NV until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ctac NV's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ctac NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ctac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ctac NV's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Ctac NV shares are held by company insiders

Ctac NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ctac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ctac NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ctac NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 M

Ctac NV Technical Analysis

Ctac NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ctac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ctac NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ctac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ctac NV Predictive Forecast Models

Ctac NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ctac NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ctac NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ctac NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ctac NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ctac NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ctac NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ctac NV has accumulated 2.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.4, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Ctac NV has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ctac NV until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ctac NV's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ctac NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ctac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ctac NV's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 54.0% of Ctac NV shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Ctac Stock Analysis

When running Ctac NV's price analysis, check to measure Ctac NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ctac NV is operating at the current time. Most of Ctac NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ctac NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ctac NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ctac NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.