Continental Aktiengesellschaft Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 66.22

CTTAF Stock  USD 62.18  0.84  1.33%   
Continental Aktiengesellscha's future price is the expected price of Continental Aktiengesellscha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Continental Aktiengesellschaft performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Continental Aktiengesellscha Backtesting, Continental Aktiengesellscha Valuation, Continental Aktiengesellscha Correlation, Continental Aktiengesellscha Hype Analysis, Continental Aktiengesellscha Volatility, Continental Aktiengesellscha History as well as Continental Aktiengesellscha Performance.
  
Please specify Continental Aktiengesellscha's target price for which you would like Continental Aktiengesellscha odds to be computed.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Target Price Odds to finish over 66.22

The tendency of Continental Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 66.22  or more in 90 days
 62.18 90 days 66.22 
about 17.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Continental Aktiengesellscha to move over $ 66.22  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.62 (This Continental Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Continental Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Continental Aktiengesellscha price to stay between its current price of $ 62.18  and $ 66.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Continental Aktiengesellscha has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Continental Aktiengesellscha average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Continental Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Continental Aktiengesellschaft has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Continental Aktiengesellscha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Continental Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Continental Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.2062.1866.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.2652.2468.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.7262.7066.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.6762.4663.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental Aktiengesellscha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental Aktiengesellscha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental Aktiengesellscha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Continental Aktiengesellscha.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Continental Aktiengesellscha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Continental Aktiengesellscha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Continental Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Continental Aktiengesellscha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Continental Aktiengesellscha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Continental Aktiengesellscha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Continental Aktiengesellscha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental Aktiengesellscha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Continental Aktiengesellscha has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Continental Aktiengesellscha Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Continental Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Continental Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200 M

Continental Aktiengesellscha Technical Analysis

Continental Aktiengesellscha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Continental Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Continental Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Predictive Forecast Models

Continental Aktiengesellscha's time-series forecasting models is one of many Continental Aktiengesellscha's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Continental Aktiengesellscha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Continental Aktiengesellscha

Checking the ongoing alerts about Continental Aktiengesellscha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Continental Aktiengesellscha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental Aktiengesellscha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Continental Aktiengesellscha has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Continental Pink Sheet

Continental Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Continental Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Continental with respect to the benefits of owning Continental Aktiengesellscha security.