Continental Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CTTAF Stock  USD 62.18  0.84  1.33%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 62.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.85. Continental Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Continental Aktiengesellscha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Continental Aktiengesellschaft is based on a synthetically constructed Continental Aktiengesellschadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Continental Aktiengesellscha 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 62.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83, mean absolute percentage error of 5.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Continental Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Continental Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Continental Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Continental Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Continental Aktiengesellscha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Continental Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.26 and 66.22, respectively. We have considered Continental Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
62.18
62.24
Expected Value
66.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Continental Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Continental Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.0661
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2452
MADMean absolute deviation1.8257
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors74.8545
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Continental Aktiengesellscha 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Continental Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Continental Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.2062.1866.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.2652.2468.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
61.6762.4663.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental Aktiengesellscha. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental Aktiengesellscha's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental Aktiengesellscha's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Continental Aktiengesellscha.

Other Forecasting Options for Continental Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in Continental, whether a beginner or expert, Continental Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Continental Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Continental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Continental Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Continental Aktiengesellscha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Continental Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Continental Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Continental Aktiengesellscha Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Continental Aktiengesellscha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Continental Aktiengesellscha's current price.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Continental Aktiengesellscha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Continental Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Continental Aktiengesellscha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Continental Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Continental Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Continental Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Continental Aktiengesellscha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting continental pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Continental Pink Sheet

Continental Aktiengesellscha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Continental Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Continental with respect to the benefits of owning Continental Aktiengesellscha security.