Continental Ag Pk Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.39

CTTAY Stock  USD 6.39  0.12  1.91%   
Continental's future price is the expected price of Continental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Continental AG PK performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Continental Backtesting, Continental Valuation, Continental Correlation, Continental Hype Analysis, Continental Volatility, Continental History as well as Continental Performance.
  
Please specify Continental's target price for which you would like Continental odds to be computed.

Continental Target Price Odds to finish over 6.39

The tendency of Continental Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.39 90 days 6.39 
about 39.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Continental to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.77 (This Continental AG PK probability density function shows the probability of Continental Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Continental has a beta of 0.83 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Continental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Continental AG PK will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Continental AG PK has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Continental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Continental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Continental AG PK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.586.419.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.496.329.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.606.439.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.236.366.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Continental AG PK.

Continental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Continental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Continental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Continental AG PK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Continental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Continental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Continental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Continental AG PK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental AG PK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Continental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Continental Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Continental Technical Analysis

Continental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Continental Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Continental AG PK. In general, you should focus on analyzing Continental Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Continental Predictive Forecast Models

Continental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Continental's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Continental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Continental AG PK

Checking the ongoing alerts about Continental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Continental AG PK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental AG PK generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Continental Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Continental's price analysis, check to measure Continental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Continental is operating at the current time. Most of Continental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Continental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Continental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Continental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.