Centaurus Metals Limited Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.29

CTTZF Stock  USD 0.29  0.01  3.33%   
Centaurus Metals' future price is the expected price of Centaurus Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Centaurus Metals Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Centaurus Metals Backtesting, Centaurus Metals Valuation, Centaurus Metals Correlation, Centaurus Metals Hype Analysis, Centaurus Metals Volatility, Centaurus Metals History as well as Centaurus Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Centaurus Metals' target price for which you would like Centaurus Metals odds to be computed.

Centaurus Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.29

The tendency of Centaurus OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.29 90 days 0.29 
about 38.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centaurus Metals to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 38.6 (This Centaurus Metals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Centaurus OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.62 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Centaurus Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Centaurus Metals Limited has an alpha of 0.2158, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Centaurus Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Centaurus Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centaurus Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.295.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.255.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.285.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.270.300.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Centaurus Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Centaurus Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Centaurus Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Centaurus Metals.

Centaurus Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centaurus Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centaurus Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centaurus Metals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centaurus Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Centaurus Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centaurus Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centaurus Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centaurus Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Centaurus Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Centaurus Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 265.86 K. Net Loss for the year was (16.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 265.86 K.
Centaurus Metals Limited has accumulated about 60.13 M in cash with (15.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Roughly 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Centaurus Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centaurus OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centaurus Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centaurus Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding358.3 M

Centaurus Metals Technical Analysis

Centaurus Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centaurus OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centaurus Metals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centaurus OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Centaurus Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Centaurus Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Centaurus Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centaurus Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Centaurus Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Centaurus Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centaurus Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centaurus Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Centaurus Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Centaurus Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 265.86 K. Net Loss for the year was (16.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 265.86 K.
Centaurus Metals Limited has accumulated about 60.13 M in cash with (15.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14.
Roughly 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Centaurus OTC Stock

Centaurus Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Centaurus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Centaurus with respect to the benefits of owning Centaurus Metals security.