Realord Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.66
| CUV Stock | EUR 0.84 0.02 2.33% |
Realord |
Realord Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.66
The tendency of Realord Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.66 or more in 90 days |
| 0.84 | 90 days | 0.66 | about 22.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Realord Group to drop to € 0.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.58 (This Realord Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Realord Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Realord Group Holdings price to stay between € 0.66 and its current price of €0.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Realord Group Holdings has a beta of -0.28 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Realord Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Realord Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Realord Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.5111, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Realord Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Realord Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Realord Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Realord Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Realord Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Realord Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Realord Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Realord Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Realord Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Realord Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Realord Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Realord Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Realord Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Realord Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Realord Group Holdings has accumulated about 350.98 M in cash with (198.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Realord Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Realord Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Realord Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Realord Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Realord Group Technical Analysis
Realord Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Realord Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Realord Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Realord Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Realord Group Predictive Forecast Models
Realord Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Realord Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Realord Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Realord Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Realord Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Realord Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Realord Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Realord Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Realord Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Realord Group Holdings has accumulated about 350.98 M in cash with (198.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Realord Stock
Realord Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Realord Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Realord with respect to the benefits of owning Realord Group security.