Cablevision Holding (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6,851

CVH Stock  ARS 6,930  40.00  0.58%   
Cablevision Holding's future price is the expected price of Cablevision Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cablevision Holding SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cablevision Holding Backtesting, Cablevision Holding Valuation, Cablevision Holding Correlation, Cablevision Holding Hype Analysis, Cablevision Holding Volatility, Cablevision Holding History as well as Cablevision Holding Performance.
  
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Cablevision Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 6,851

The tendency of Cablevision Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 6,930 90 days 6,930 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cablevision Holding to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cablevision Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Cablevision Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cablevision Holding has a beta of 0.48 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cablevision Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cablevision Holding SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cablevision Holding SA has an alpha of 0.4964, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cablevision Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cablevision Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cablevision Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,9286,9306,932
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,2377,5407,542
Details

Cablevision Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cablevision Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cablevision Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cablevision Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cablevision Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
586.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Cablevision Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cablevision Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cablevision Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cablevision Holding SA has accumulated 202.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cablevision Holding has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cablevision Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cablevision Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cablevision Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cablevision to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cablevision Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Cablevision Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cablevision Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cablevision Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cablevision Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.6 M

Cablevision Holding Technical Analysis

Cablevision Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cablevision Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cablevision Holding SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cablevision Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cablevision Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Cablevision Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cablevision Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cablevision Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cablevision Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cablevision Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cablevision Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cablevision Holding SA has accumulated 202.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cablevision Holding has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cablevision Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cablevision Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cablevision Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cablevision to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cablevision Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cablevision Stock

Cablevision Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cablevision Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cablevision with respect to the benefits of owning Cablevision Holding security.