Chevron Corp (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11202.62
| CVX Stock | ARS 11,100 125.00 1.11% |
Chevron |
Chevron Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 11202.62
The tendency of Chevron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11,203 or more in 90 days |
| 11,100 | 90 days | 11,203 | about 58.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chevron Corp to move over 11,203 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.21 (This Chevron Corp CEDEAR probability density function shows the probability of Chevron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chevron Corp CEDEAR price to stay between its current price of 11,100 and 11,203 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chevron Corp CEDEAR has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chevron Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chevron Corp CEDEAR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chevron Corp CEDEAR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chevron Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chevron Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chevron Corp CEDEAR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chevron Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chevron Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chevron Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chevron Corp CEDEAR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chevron Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 321.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Chevron Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chevron Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chevron Corp CEDEAR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chevron Corp CEDEAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Chevron Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chevron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chevron Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chevron Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -11 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 111.93 | |
| Shares Float | 17.7 B |
Chevron Corp Technical Analysis
Chevron Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chevron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chevron Corp CEDEAR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chevron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chevron Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Chevron Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chevron Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chevron Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chevron Corp CEDEAR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chevron Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chevron Corp CEDEAR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chevron Corp CEDEAR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Chevron Stock
Chevron Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chevron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chevron with respect to the benefits of owning Chevron Corp security.