Clearwater Analytics Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.75
| CWAN Stock | USD 31.75 0.85 2.75% |
Closest to current price Clearwater long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Clearwater |
Clearwater Analytics Target Price Odds to finish over 18.75
The tendency of Clearwater Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 18.75 in 90 days |
| 31.75 | 90 days | 18.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clearwater Analytics to stay above $ 18.75 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Clearwater Analytics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Clearwater Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clearwater Analytics price to stay between $ 18.75 and its current price of $31.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clearwater Analytics will likely underperform. Additionally Clearwater Analytics Holdings has an alpha of 0.2712, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Clearwater Analytics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Clearwater Analytics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearwater Analytics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Clearwater Analytics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clearwater Analytics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clearwater Analytics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clearwater Analytics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clearwater Analytics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Clearwater Analytics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clearwater Analytics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clearwater Analytics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 368.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 215.64 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Industrial Alliance Portfolio Management Sharpens its Risk and Performance Reporting with ... |
Clearwater Analytics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clearwater Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clearwater Analytics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearwater Analytics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.2 M |
Clearwater Analytics Technical Analysis
Clearwater Analytics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clearwater Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clearwater Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Clearwater Analytics Predictive Forecast Models
Clearwater Analytics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Clearwater Analytics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clearwater Analytics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Clearwater Analytics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Clearwater Analytics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clearwater Analytics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 368.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 215.64 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Industrial Alliance Portfolio Management Sharpens its Risk and Performance Reporting with ... |
Check out Clearwater Analytics Backtesting, Clearwater Analytics Valuation, Clearwater Analytics Correlation, Clearwater Analytics Hype Analysis, Clearwater Analytics Volatility, Clearwater Analytics History as well as Clearwater Analytics Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearwater Analytics. If investors know Clearwater will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clearwater Analytics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share 1.984 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.224 | Return On Assets 0.0325 | Return On Equity 0.0091 |
The market value of Clearwater Analytics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearwater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearwater Analytics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearwater Analytics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clearwater Analytics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearwater Analytics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clearwater Analytics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clearwater Analytics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clearwater Analytics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.