CEWE Stiftung (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 88.38
| CWC Stock | 98.50 0.30 0.31% |
CEWE |
CEWE Stiftung Target Price Odds to finish below 88.38
The tendency of CEWE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 88.38 or more in 90 days |
| 98.50 | 90 days | 88.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CEWE Stiftung to drop to 88.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CEWE Stiftung Co probability density function shows the probability of CEWE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CEWE Stiftung price to stay between 88.38 and its current price of 98.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CEWE Stiftung has a beta of 0.32 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CEWE Stiftung average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CEWE Stiftung Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CEWE Stiftung Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CEWE Stiftung Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CEWE Stiftung
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEWE Stiftung. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEWE Stiftung's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CEWE Stiftung Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CEWE Stiftung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CEWE Stiftung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CEWE Stiftung Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CEWE Stiftung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
CEWE Stiftung Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CEWE Stiftung for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CEWE Stiftung can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CEWE Stiftung generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CEWE Stiftung Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEWE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CEWE Stiftung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEWE Stiftung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84.4 M |
CEWE Stiftung Technical Analysis
CEWE Stiftung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CEWE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CEWE Stiftung Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing CEWE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CEWE Stiftung Predictive Forecast Models
CEWE Stiftung's time-series forecasting models is one of many CEWE Stiftung's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CEWE Stiftung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CEWE Stiftung
Checking the ongoing alerts about CEWE Stiftung for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CEWE Stiftung help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CEWE Stiftung generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CEWE Stock Analysis
When running CEWE Stiftung's price analysis, check to measure CEWE Stiftung's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CEWE Stiftung is operating at the current time. Most of CEWE Stiftung's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CEWE Stiftung's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CEWE Stiftung's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CEWE Stiftung to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.