Charlottes Web Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| CWEB Stock | CAD 0.17 0.02 10.53% |
Charlottes |
Charlottes Web Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Charlottes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.17 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charlottes Web to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Charlottes Web Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Charlottes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charlottes Web Holdings price to stay between C$ 0.00 and its current price of C$0.17 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Charlottes Web Holdings has a beta of -1.46 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Charlottes Web Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Charlottes Web is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Charlottes Web Holdings has an alpha of 0.0408, implying that it can generate a 0.0408 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Charlottes Web Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Charlottes Web
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charlottes Web Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Charlottes Web Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charlottes Web is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charlottes Web's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charlottes Web Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charlottes Web within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Charlottes Web Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Charlottes Web for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Charlottes Web Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Charlottes Web generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charlottes Web has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Charlottes Web has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Charlottes Web has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 63.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.53 M. | |
| Charlottes Web Holdings has accumulated about 66.96 M in cash with (15.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Charlottes Web Holdings, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Charlottes Web Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Charlottes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Charlottes Web's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Charlottes Web's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.8 M |
Charlottes Web Technical Analysis
Charlottes Web's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charlottes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charlottes Web Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charlottes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charlottes Web Predictive Forecast Models
Charlottes Web's time-series forecasting models is one of many Charlottes Web's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charlottes Web's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Charlottes Web Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Charlottes Web for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Charlottes Web Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Charlottes Web generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Charlottes Web has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Charlottes Web has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Charlottes Web has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 63.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.53 M. | |
| Charlottes Web Holdings has accumulated about 66.96 M in cash with (15.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Charlottes Web Holdings, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Other Information on Investing in Charlottes Stock
Charlottes Web financial ratios help investors to determine whether Charlottes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Charlottes with respect to the benefits of owning Charlottes Web security.